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rio:
Repiblicans may have freed the slaves, but that was a long time ago. Whereas it is only recent history that the Dems were the party of the Civil Rights legislation.
But anyway, IMO looking at cultural issues gets you nowhere, because I think people vote on the economy. African-Americans may be culturally more conservative, but overwhelmingly they are also lower down the socio-economic scale. The Democrats are the party of the trade unions, the less pro-Free Trade party, and the party that emphasises good quality and high employment, even if that requires government intervention. This is the economic ideology that working class people tend to vote for.
It was a long time ago, so was slavery, obviously; yet it is brought up rather frequently, even today.
As for voting blocs based on the economy, whites vote about fifty fifty Dem / Rep, so how does that equate?
A lot of working class people I know are conservatives, like I said it is about an even split among whites.
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rio:
Well, you are characterising the Dem mantra in a perjorative way. "Welfare" has negative overtones nowadays, as does "affirmative action". But the Democratic party is/was a Keynsian liberal party. It emphasised high employment and good quality jobs, with wages rising in line with firm profits. These are positive values, right? You are emphasising welfare, but that is only the flip side, which is a necessary evil that has to be there. Before welfare unemployment meant starvation for large sections of the labour force, which ultimately I don't think even the most hardcore conservatives would prefer.
I was trying to establish why the Dems would be so appealing to a specific group. True, welfare is not a monopoloy held by any one group, but while blacks make up roughly 12% of the population, they make up around 38% of all AFDC reception.
I also cited AA, perpetual victim status and other assorted leg-up programs.
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rio:
But if affirmative action was entirely erased as an issue- it had never been on the table, never debated etc, the Dems would still pick up the large majority of black votes, IMO. This is for the reasons outlined above. Black people are more likely to have a lower socio-economic status, and hence are more likely to vote Democratic, because the Dems emphasise the role of government in securing better, more, and improving jobs for ordinary people
I disagree. Since this is supposition, let's leave it at that.
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rio:
Well, look at it another way. Is it the Dems failure to do anything through social programmes, or is it the Republicans' success in destroying working class America? Under Reagan, US companies began exporting US jobs en masse to the developing world were labour is easier to exploit, and began replacing them with low paying service jobs. Under Reagan, welfare was actually HIGHER as a percentage of GDP than it was under Carter, because of the horrific unemployment that this caused. Don't forget that leadership in the US since 1980 has been overwhelmingly conservative. Bill Clinton was very conservative, compared to LBJ or Carter. Why would you attribute the climbs in problems such as crime and drug abuse to liberal policies?
Social programmes can only ever be a sticking plaster, and often an ineffective on at that. On the other hand, some Democratic policies have made massive improvements in quality of economic life, which is ultimately the factor that, above all others, determines crime, alienation, poverty, drug abuse and all these other things. It is not surprising at all, IMO, that the greatest known increase in living conditions in the USA were in the decades following FDR's New Deal. And it is even less of a surprise that the end to this improvement, and even in some sectors and areas its reversal, came following Reagan.
First, not all whites are upper crust; most of us are working class. Whites vote about fifty/fifty along party lines.
None of this explains why the vast majority, hell practically all, of blacks vote Dem.
Second, I am no fan of Reaganomics, so no argument there.
But, again, this doesn't explain the discrepancies between the the way blacks and whites vote.
Whites were affected just as much, if not more than blacks, since whites employment rates have historically been higher than blacks.
And besides, saying that the "greatest known increase in living conditions in the USA were in the decades following FDR's New Deal" isn't really saying a lot, because that was immediately following the Great Depression. And, yes I am aware that the presidents that were running the show at the time were Reps.
I never claimed that the climb in the ills afflicting blacks, i.e, drugs, crime, poverty, were
caused by Democrats, only that theyhaven't fixed them. Which is the point.
(One of) the biggest detriments to American workers was the signing of NAFTA, a bill signed by Clinton, who, whether or not he is more conservative than LBJ or Carter, a Dem.
Social programs are one thing; establishing a system of perpetual dependency is anoher thing altogether.
I am a firm believer in taking the reins of your destiny into your own hands.
Anyway, as always, it's nice to bat it around with you, you have good arguments.
But, alas, my wife is looking at me with daggers in her eyes, so we'll have to pick this up later.