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Yeah, the problem is that those bands are not part of the scene, because true black metal just is not about progression.
But that's part of my point, there really
isn't a scene today. No, black metal was never really about progression, but it was never about sounding just like everyone else either.
So again, if we're looking at it as a scene, then yes, I agree that it's pretty much dead (or certainly dormant at the very least). If we're talking about black metal music, there's still some quality stuff out there being made today (that is black metal), and to me that's more important. And I don't think you (Misha) have completely sworn off Mystic Forest or would claim they're not black metal...
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I voted false, because it's just, just still alive, with one or two half-decent bands like Taake and 1349 keeping it breathing. I also think USBM is keeping it going too, as I like Absu and Xasthur
Meh, if those are the only bands you're going to cite as just barely keeping black metal alive, I think you should look harder...
And I think it's interesting how so many people here were heaping praises on a band like DsO a year or so ago, and now we have a thread like this where no one has mentioned them. (and wouldn't you know it, while I was posting, Dago happened to mention them.

) ... And Drudkh anyone?
-Tyrion